Numbers Game

Home › Blog

Who Will Win Euro 2024? A Closer Look at the Top Contenders

Numbers Game · · 4 min read

Who Will Win Euro 2024? A Closer Look at the Top Contenders

Euro 2024 is almost here, and the excitement is palpable! As fans gear up for what promises to be a thrilling tournament, let's dive into the potential winners based on their recent form and squad strengths. From traditional powerhouses to dark horses, here's a casual look at who might lift the trophy this summer.

England: Can They Balance It Out?

England's road to Euro 2024 has been bumpy, to say the least. Their pre-tournament form has been inconsistent, and Gareth Southgate's decisions have raised a few eyebrows. The omission of big names like Jack Grealish and Marcus Rashford has sparked some debate.

Key Issues: Defence and midfield balance. With injury concerns over John Stones and Luke Shaw, the backline looks a bit shaky. Midfield choices also seem uncertain, with Trent Alexander-Arnold potentially playing out of position.

Why They Could Win: England's attacking talent is undeniable. With Bukayo Saka, Jude Bellingham, Phil Foden, and Harry Kane, they have the firepower to trouble any defence. If they can sort out their defensive issues, they could go far.

France: Finding the Right Mix

France, always a favourite, had a mixed bag in their warm-ups. They cruised past Luxembourg but stumbled against Canada, raising some questions about their midfield and defence.

Key Issues: Midfield cohesion. Injuries to key players like Adrien Rabiot and Aurelien Tchouameni have disrupted preparations. Having a player who can link defence with attack is crucial, and is N'Golo Kante still cutting the mustard?

Why They Could Win: France's attacking lineup is one of the best in the world. Kylian Mbappe, Antoine Griezmann, and their supporting cast can outscore any team. If their defence holds up, they are serious contenders.

Germany: A Team in Transition

Germany has shown flashes of brilliance under Julian Nagelsmann, but consistency remains a question. Their recent friendlies against Ukraine and Greece highlighted both strengths and weaknesses.

Key Issues: Midfield balance and goalkeeper choice. With debates over Manuel Neuer’s form and the right midfield combination, Germany needs to find its best XI quickly.

Why They Could Win: Germany has the talent and tactical flexibility to succeed. Players like Leroy Sane and Jamal Musiala can be game-changers. A strong start could build momentum and confidence.

Italy: Building a New Identity

Italy is navigating through injuries and a generational shift under Luciano Spalletti. Despite these challenges, they've shown promising signs in their warm-ups. Inter Milan are the second most represented club at the Euros (just behind Manchester City) and Italian clubs have gone far in Europe this season.

Key Issues: Defensive solidity and midfield integration. Injuries to key defenders and midfielders have forced tactical adjustments. The team is still gelling.

Why They Could Win: Italy's mix of experienced campaigners and exciting young talents could surprise many. If they can click as a unit, they have the potential to emulate their 2020 success.

Spain: Stability Amidst Change

Spain has bounced back from off-field scandals with strong performances in recent friendlies. Their squad blends experience with youthful exuberance.

Key Issues: Leadership. Decisions to leave out veterans like Sergio Ramos have been controversial. The team’s ability to stay focused is key.

Why They Could Win: Spain's possession-based style and attacking options like Pedri and Alvaro Morata can dominate games. If they maintain their form, they are definite contenders.

Portugal: Depth and Dynamism

Portugal, under Roberto Martinez, has shown mixed results in their warm-ups. However, their squad depth is impressive, and they have plenty of options in every position.

Key Issues: Finding the best XI and tactical consistency. Constant changes in line-up and formation indicate a search for the right balance.

Why They Could Win: With stars like Cristiano Ronaldo, Bruno Fernandes, and emerging talents, Portugal has the squad to go all the way. Their depth could be crucial in navigating the tournament’s challenges.

Belgium: A New Era Begins

Belgium is transitioning from their golden generation to a fresher squad. Despite this, they've maintained an unbeaten streak in their build-up to the tournament.

Key Issues: Goalkeeper situation. With Thibaut Courtois out, the goalkeeping duties fall to Koen Casteels, which might be a concern.

Why They Could Win: Experienced leaders like Kevin De Bruyne and Romelu Lukaku, combined with fresh talent, make Belgium a balanced and dangerous team. They could quietly make a deep run.

Netherlands: Overcoming Setbacks

The Netherlands have faced significant challenges, particularly with the injury to Frenkie de Jong. Despite this, they've shown resilience in their recent matches.

Key Issues: Midfield creativity and tactical adjustments. Replacing De Jong is a huge task, and the team needs to adapt quickly.

Why They Could Win: Strong defensive options and emerging talents like Xavi Simons could propel the Netherlands forward. If they manage their midfield issues, they could be a dark horse.

Conclusion

The Euros are shaping up to be a fascinating tournament with many teams capable of winning it all. But as to who will win Euro 2024 - each favourite has its strengths and vulnerabilities, making it a wide-open competition. Whether it's England's attacking flair, France's star power, Germany's tactical evolution, Italy's new identity, Spain's possession game, Portugal's depth, Belgium's balance, or the Netherlands' resilience, this tournament promises excitement and drama at every turn.

TLDR: IT'S COMING HOME

Enjoy.

For all the football stats you need ahead of each game, head to https://numbersgame.uk/signup/monthly

Make better bets in 2 minutes

Numbers Game gives you AI predictions, fair odds and the key stats for 50+ competitions, so you can spot value without the research.

Free predictions by competition

Win probabilities, form and head-to-head for every upcoming match, worked out by our AI.